Six positions. Every thesis on the record.

Concentrated by design: "safe" compounders paired with volatile high-upside names. Weights and cost bases as of December 31, 2025. Dollar position sizes are shared with paid subscribers only.

META Meta Platforms
Weight42.42%
Cost basis$93.67
2025 return+12.74%

The largest position and the highest conviction: distribution wins AI. Meta is the world's largest distribution platform, and it monetizes AI through ads and engagement already — no waiting on AGI timelines. Bought at $93 in the 2022 crash (down from $336). The acknowledged risk is open-ended capex — $600B in data-center commitments — but unlike cloud hyperscalers, Meta can pull back anytime, as the 2023 "year of efficiency" showed.

What would change my mindIf engagement or revenue-per-user starts declining the way it did in 2022, or if AI spending becomes structurally unproductive with no path to pull back — the distribution-moat thesis breaks.
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics
Weight19.46%
Cost basis$53.26
2025 return+40.77%

The favorite thesis in the portfolio. Halozyme leads injectable-drug delivery and is acquiring competitors to extend the franchise. It was called out as a stock that "should be at least $100" — at the end of 2025 it traded at a P/E of just 14 while delivering a "double beat on earnings every quarter." The patent-cliff fear is considered way overblown. This is also the bubble-resilient pick: medicine profits whether AGI arrives in two years or ten.

What would change my mindIf the acquisition spree destroys rather than extends value, the every-quarter double-beat pattern breaks, or the patent-cliff risk turns out to be real after all.
NET Cloudflare
Weight11.77%
Cost basis$40.08
2025 return+83.09%

The post-search internet bet: as agents and LLMs reshape how people find things online, Cloudflare is best positioned for the AI internet. Up 83% in 2025 — "I don't own enough of this stock." Held through the February 2026 software selloff on the view that AI disruption accrues to its platform rather than destroying it. A long-term hold despite the premium valuation.

What would change my mindIf AI agents commoditize the network layer instead of accruing value to it — or if growth ever stops justifying the premium multiple.
NTRA Natera
Weight10.94%
Cost basis$147.35
2025 return+44.72%

Called "the largest beneficiary of AI in the market right now" — scale plus distribution plus data, growing revenue 30%+. Bought in November 2024 on the view that biotech, not chatbots, is where AI makes real progress. One of the two biotech picks that beat the ARK Genomics ETF by a wide margin in 2025.

What would change my mindIf the 30%-plus revenue growth stalls or the scale-and-data advantage stops converting into durable market share.
U Unity Software
Weight7.39%
Cost basis$28.18
2025 return+96.57%

The roller coaster: bought at $28 in late 2022 after the fall from $197 to $15, now a turnaround bet under CEO Matthew Bromberg. Unity's engine reaches some 4 billion monthly users, and the monetization upside is in-game ads — "your margin is my opportunity" against Applovin's 65% net margins. AI making content creation easier means more games, and more games need engines. The stated sell range is $50–$55 (later raised toward $55–$60).

What would change my mindThe plan already includes the exit: $50–$55 is where this gets sold. Before that, a stalled turnaround or a broken monetization story would end it early.
CELH Celsius Holdings
Weight4.34%
Cost basis$46.07
2025 return+68%

Bought at $46 on a −22% earnings crater in November 2025 — "another roller coaster, much like $U" — then added to in January 2026 with the proceeds from selling Microsoft. The thesis: high margins, huge growth, and the secular shift from coffee to energy drinks. "Invest in what one consumes." The top "cult stock" buy-list pick for 2025.

What would change my mindIf the energy-drink secular trend reverses or the high-margin, high-growth profile compresses structurally — the crater-buy only works if the business was fine.
Recently exited. Microsoft (~3.6% weight) was sold in January 2026 and folded into Celsius — impatience with a "mundane" compounder. Occidental was sold at $42 in late 2025 on a broken oil thesis; it then ran 54% — a published mistake. AMD and Intel were sold before both ran. The exits get the same disclosure as the entries.

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